Afghanistan

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Afghanistan
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Food Security Outlook
October 2023 - May 2024
Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes expected in northern and urban areas during the lean season
  • Millions of rural households are currently benefiting from the available food and income from the primary and second-season harvests. However, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are ongoing in northern areas of the country as well as the central highlands due to poor production in 2023 and lower-than-normal income earned from livestock and labor. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to expand in the winter months as household food stocks are exhausted, and labor opportunities decrease. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected in the southern portion of the country, where households have some food stocks for consumption, and income will help cover food consumption deficits. 
  • In early October, Herat Province was struck by three powerful earthquakes. According to OCHA, over 275,000 people were affected. These populations are now living in informal settlements, makeshift tents, and open spaces. Households have started to rebuild their homes and their livelihoods; however, many households lost their winter food stocks, livestock, and/or assets. Furthermore, even if households are able to earn some income, they have challenges accessing food from the market due to low purchasing power. WFP is currently distributing food assistance to over 103,000 people. Overall, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are ongoing in Herat and expected to persist through the projection period, with some households likely in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). 
  • Due to the likelihood of El Niño conditions persisting through spring, above-average cumulative precipitation is expected for the 2023/24 wet season in Afghanistan. This will facilitate agricultural activities and favor crop development and production—especially in rainfed areas—and pasture is expected to develop favorably, potentially alleviating drought conditions. In the spring, atypically high levels of flooding are expected from March to May in western, northern, northeastern, and central areas of the country due to melting of the likely above-average snowpack, coupled with above-average precipitation and temperatures. The flooding is expected to result in some crop description, displacement, and livestock losses; however, it will also improve the availability of groundwater for irrigated crops. 
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Food Security
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Agroclimatology
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Seasonal Monitor Below-average cumulative seasonal precipitation has impacted water resources in the country for the third consecutive year Afghanistan May 23, 2023
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Alerts / Special Reports
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Food Security
Food Security Outlook Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes expected in northern and urban areas during the lean season Afghanistan October 2023 - May 2024
Key Message Update Above-average 2023/24 precipitation season is expected to facilitate planting Afghanistan September 2023
Food Security Outlook Update Due to low water availability, second-season crops face stress conditions Afghanistan August 2023
Agroclimatology
Seasonal Monitor Above-average precipitation forecast may result in a prosperous 2023-24 agricultural season Afghanistan October 26, 2023
Seasonal Monitor For the 2022-23 growing season, below average seasonal rainfall, snowpack, and vegetation conditions are likely to result in negative impacts to agriculture and pasture conditions Afghanistan June 22, 2023
Seasonal Monitor Below-average cumulative seasonal precipitation has impacted water resources in the country for the third consecutive year Afghanistan May 23, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Afghanistan Price Bulletin Afghanistan November 2023
Price Bulletin Afghanistan Price Bulletin Afghanistan October 2023
Price Bulletin Afghanistan Price Bulletin Afghanistan September 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security Outlook Briefings Food Security Outlook Briefings
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Afghanistan (June 2023 - January 2024)

 
Food Security Classification Data View all Afghanistan classification data
Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (October 2023 - May 2024)

Current (October 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2023 - January 2024) and medium term (February 2024 - May 2024) periods.

Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: October 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: October 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (September 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile September 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification September 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (August 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar reveals the annual and cyclical patterns in a community throughout the typical year.
Afghanistan Seasonal Calendar
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Wheat, Northern Region, Normal Year Wheat, Western Region, Normal Year
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

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Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Afghanistan Livelihood Zone Descriptions, February 2011 Afghanistan Livelihoods Map, March 2011
Afghanistan 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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