Nigeria

Nigeria
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Latest Analysis
Food Security Outlook October 2025 - May 2026 Escalating conflict, below-average harvests sustaining Crisis (IPC 3) in the north Download the report
  • In northern Nigeria, conflict continues to drive displacement, disrupt livelihood and market activities, and constrain access to income and farmland, leading to widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes. While most households are experiencing seasonal improvements in food availability due to the ongoing October harvest, overall production remains below average. As a result, most households will remain at least partially market dependent for food throughout the harvest period. In inaccessible areas of the North East, Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are likely to persist between November 2025 and May 2026 as households face severely limited mobility, poor market access, and minimal to no harvests.
  • Despite the ongoing harvest, escalating levels of conflict are anticipated to sustain high humanitarian needs through May 2026. Since early 2025, intensifying violence across the northern areas of Nigeria has continued to restrict households' access to farmland and food sources while also limiting their ability to earn income. While food assistance needs will seasonally decrease in October with the beginning of the harvest, between 14.0-15.0 million people will be in need of humanitarian assistance between October 2025 and May 2026. Needs will begin to seasonally increase as early as March with the onset of the pastoral lean season before peaking in May 2026 with the onset of the agricultural lean season. The population of highest concern includes poor and displaced households in inaccessible areas of the northeast.
  • Despite the improvement in recorded macroeconomic conditions and an atypical decrease in staple food prices compared to the previous year and five-year average, prices remain marginally above average. Persistently high transportation costs, limited income-earning opportunities, and a continued increase in the overall cost of general goods and services have driven above-average prices. These factors have continued to strain households’ expenditures and further limited access to food.
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More Analysis View all Nigeria analysis Food security
Key Message Update Nigeria September 2025
Key Message Update Nigeria August 2025
Key Message Update Nigeria July 2025
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global November 13, 2025 - November 19, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global November 6, 2025 - November 12, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global October 30, 2025 - November 5, 2025
Markets & trade
Supply and Market Outlook West Africa June 13, 2024
Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alert Nigeria August 12, 2020
Food security
Key Message Update Nigeria September 2025
Key Message Update Nigeria August 2025
Key Message Update Nigeria July 2025
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global November 13, 2025 - November 19, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global November 6, 2025 - November 12, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global October 30, 2025 - November 5, 2025
Markets & trade
Supply and Market Outlook West Africa June 13, 2024
Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alert Nigeria August 12, 2020
Food Security Classification Data View all Nigeria Food Security Classification data
Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2024 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: December 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: December 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2024 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: November 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: November 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Nigeria
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Cassava, Normal Year Cowpea, Normal Year Livestock, Normal Year Maize, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year Sorghum, Normal Year
Satellite-Derived Products

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all Satellite-Derived Products
Livelihood Zone resources View all Nigeria livelihoods products Livelihood profile Fact sheets Attribute maps Map and shapefiles
Nigeria 2023 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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