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Food Security Outlook Update December 2025 Disruptions to harvests and dry season activities are sustaining Crisis (IPC Phase 3) Download the report
  • Conflict persists across northern Nigeria, with attacks increasing in frequency since the start of the harvest in October. Between October and December 2025, attacks on farming communities intensified; an estimated 1,350 people were abducted, disrupting late harvests and limiting engagement in dry season activities. Heightened insecurity and fear of attack continue to drive below-average agricultural production in conflict-affected areas including Borno, Katsina, Sokoto, and Zamfara. Rural households’ market reliance will gradually increase throughout early 2026 as food stocks deplete. Inaccessible areas of the North East will remain the most severely affected, with Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes expected to persist through May 2026 due to restricted mobility, poor market access, and minimal-to-no harvests.
  • Many households will continue to face food consumption gaps through May 2026 despite contributions from the main season harvest, which concludes in December. Ongoing conflict continues to limit access to farmland, agricultural production, and income-earning opportunities. Widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected across conflict-affected areas of the North East, North West, and North Central states, where households remain heavily dependent on markets for food amid deteriorating incomes and eroded livelihood options. As farmers transition into dry season cultivation, land preparation and transplanting of crops — including onions, peppers, tomatoes, and watermelon — are underway. However, dry season activities are expected to remain below average due to persistent insecurity and high costs of fertilizer, fuel, irrigation water, pesticides, and other agricultural inputs.
  • Macroeconomic conditions show modest improvement, as inflation eased for the eighth consecutive month, declining to 14.45 percent in November, from 16.05 percent in October, alongside an increase in external reserves to approximately 45.2 USD billion as of mid-December, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria. Additionally, retail petrol prices declined to approximately 739 NGN/liter, following a reduction in gantry prices by Dangote refinery. Despite these improvements, the cost of goods and services remains elevated, continuing to strain household expenditures amid lower-than-typical income-earning opportunities. 
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Food Security Classification Data View all Nigeria Food Security Classification data
Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2025 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2025 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Nigeria Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Nigeria
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Cassava, Normal Year Cowpea, Normal Year Livestock, Normal Year Maize, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year Sorghum, Normal Year
Satellite-Derived Products

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all Satellite-Derived Products
Livelihood Zone resources View all Nigeria livelihoods products Livelihood profile Fact sheets Attribute maps Map and shapefiles
Nigeria 2023 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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