Key Message Update

Food insecurity remains a concern in conflict areas

November 2018

November 2018 - January 2019

Food insecurity Map October 2018-January 2019: Mostly Minimal (IPC Phase 1) except for Cameroon, and parts of Niger and Nigeria that are in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and CAR and  Nigeria in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in NE Nigeria

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Nigeria.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Nigeria.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Despite flooding in several areas and damage from crop pests, the ongoing harvest is expected to be average to above average is improving household food availability and diversity and is contributing to revenues from partial sales of the harvest. The pastoral situation is generally satisfactory with good pasture and water availability. Additionally, the good availability of water will be beneficial for dry season crops.

  • Market supplies remain satisfactory and are supported by the intensification of ongoing harvests, destocking by traders and regular imports. Food prices are stable or declining compared to the previous month and last year at the same time, but generally remain above average. Weak household demand is expected to continue the downward trend in cereal prices to closer to average levels. Market functioning remains disrupted in the Great Lake Chad basin, northern and central Mali and the Liptako-Gourma region due to civil insecurity.

  • Most of the region will remain in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) until January 2019. However, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) will continue to affect the Diffa region of Niger due to the Boko Haram conflict and will also affect CAR due to the armed conflict. This situation could also affect the north-western and south-western regions of Cameroon, which are facing insecurity. 

  • Households in northeastern Nigeria affected by the Boko Haram conflict continue to depend on humanitarian aid for access to food and are facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3!), while those who do not have access to assistance facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4). In nearby areas that remain inaccessible to humanitarian actors, the food insecurity situation could be similar or worse.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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