Key Message Update

Most markets are well-supplied, though some locations have below-normal supply

February 2018

January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Nigeria.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Nigeria.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The above-average 2017/18 production forecasts and the current harvests of market garden products allow sufficient supply of markets and the rebuilding of household stocks. With the implementation of usual livelihood strategies, most households in the region are experiencing Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity. However, poor pastures and water points in western Mauritania, northern Senegal, northeastern Chad and in parts of pastoral areas in Mali and Niger remain a concern for livestock.

  • Persistent insecurity in the Lake Chad Basin and northern Mali continues to disrupt food flows in these and adjacent areas. In many countries, local grain supplies are below average due to retention in production basins. In general, cereal prices are above average; They are higher in Nigeria, due to the depreciation of the Naira and high transport costs, and in Mauritania due to production deficits and government measures.

  • Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels of food insecurity are already affecting poor households in the regions of Wadi Fira, Kanem, Barh El Gazel, Batha and Moyen Chari in Chad and those in the center of the rainfed zone in Mauritania due to bad harvests. Beginning in March, these levels of food insecurity will affect the Goundam Lakes, the Niger Delta, parts of the Western Sahel, Gourma de Gao, and Timbuktu in Mali, and poor households in the pastoral areas of Tahoua, Agadez, Zinder and Maradi in Niger.

  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food insecurity affects many households in the Diffa area, the western agropastoral zone and the Lake Chad region because of the ongoing Boko Haram conflict that continues to disrupt livelihoods; in CAR because of the armed conflict; and the western part of the agropastoral zone in Mauritania due to the failure of crops and pastures, and could affect poor households in the rainfed farming area beginning in April.

  • In Nigeria, despite the general improvement in security conditions and better access for humanitarian workers to conflict-affected populations, the latter are experiencing acute food insecurity at the Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) level in northern Yobe and in much of Borno States, and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in the outlying areas of Sambisa Forest (South Borno and Yobe States) and in the far north of Adamawa State. Food security conditions could be worse in areas that are still inaccessible.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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