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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Crisis outcomes emerging in parts of southern semiarid areas

May 2018

May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Due to a failed 2017/18 cropping season, poor households are not harvesting or accessing income-earning opportunities at typical levels in the interior of Gaza and Inhambane, northern Maputo, southern Tete, and parts of Manica and Sofala provinces. As a result, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes persist, except Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are already present in Chigubo District in Gaza Province, and additional semiarid southern and central areas are projected to be beginning in June. Chigubo is the most vulnerable district in the area as it has the least amount of water resources.

  • The main harvest is underway in the southern and central regions, while in the north it is expected to begin in late May. During a rapid food security assessment in remote semiarid areas of Gaza Province, FEWS NET confirmed that most areas had no main harvest or significantly below-average crop yields, which at the most may provide three months of household food reserves. Late-planted crops in February/March were also notably more affected by a Fall Armyworm infestation than earlier planted crops.

  • Staple food prices are generally stable or decreasing and reflect the timing of the country’s regional harvest conditions. From March to April, maize grain prices have decreased in most central markets, remained stable in the north, and have marginally increased in the south due to crop failure. April maize grain prices were below both the five-year average and last year’s prices by 23 and 26 percent, respectively. Prices of substitute staples, maize meal and rice, were generally stable from March to April.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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