Key Message Update

Conflicts continue to limit access to household livelihoods in affected areas

September 2017

September 2017

Democratic Republic of Congo September 2017 Food Security Projections for September

October 2017 - January 2018

Democratic Republic of Congo September 2017 Food Security Projections for October to January

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Not mapped
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners. FEWS NET only maps the Eastern half of DRC.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Not mapped
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners. FEWS NET only maps the Eastern half of DRC.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Not mapped
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The Kasai and Tanganyika Regions are currently experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) due to recurrent inter-community conflicts. The area between these two zones is experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) conditions. The lean season started earlier than usual and areas in IPC Phase 3 will need humanitarian assistance to preserve the livelihoods of the most vulnerable.  

  • Taking into account the increased reliance on supplies from the less affected areas and Provinces (Demba, Nweka and Sankuru) in the Kasai Region, the resumption of rail traffic on the Kananga Mwene-Ditu tracks, closed since the beginning of the conflicts, and the lifting of the ban on the export of Zambian maize, should provide an opportunity to maintain an average supply of basic foods. 

  • According to NOAA, seasonal cumulative precipitation from September and October 2017 until April 2018 is likely to be average to below-average in the southern part of the DRC, particularly in the former Katanga. This situation should encourage a normal agricultural season A, and likely average crop production, with the exception of the Kasai region where there is a timid and uncertain recovery of season A because of the low level of return of displaced people, estimated at 12 percent over the region as a whole.

  • Despite the favorable weather conditions forecasted by NOAA, the resumption of the agricultural season in the Crisis (IPC Phase 3) regions, Kasai and Tanganyika, will be slower because of the limited return of households to agricultural livelihoods in these conflict regions. Many are currently residing in urban centers with host families. This situation will jeopardize the level of production in the conflict regions, particularly as more people are displaced.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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