Monitoria dos Preços

January 2019 Global Price Watch

Janeiro 2019

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência humanitária em vigor ou programad
A maneira de classificação que utiliza FEWS NET é compatível com a CIF. A análise compatível com a CIF segue os protocolos fundamentais da CIF mas não necessariamente reflete o consenso dos parceirosnacionais com respeito a segurança alimentar.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
A maneira de classificação que utiliza FEWS NET é compatível com a CIF. A análise compatível com a CIF segue os protocolos fundamentais da CIF mas não necessariamente reflete o consenso dos parceirosnacionais com respeito a segurança alimentar.
Para os países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza um contorno de cor no mapa CIF para representar a classificação mais alta da CIF nas áreas de preocupação.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurança Alimentar Aguda Baseado

Países com presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3: Crise
4: Emergência
5: Fome
Países sem presença:
1: Minima
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pior
Poderia ser pior sem a assistência
humanitária em vigor ou programad
Para os países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza um contorno de cor no mapa CIF para representar a classificação mais alta da CIF nas áreas de preocupação.

As mensagens-chave

  • In West Africa, market supplies continued to increase in December with the progression of harvests. Coarse grain prices decreased seasonally month-to-month and remain below last year but near average. In contrast, rice prices remained elevated, especially in coastal countries where local currencies have recently depreciated and where inflation has increased. Markets activities remain disrupted and atypical price trends persist in insecurity-stricken Greater Lake Chad basin, Tibesti region, northern and central Mali, and Liptako-Gourma region.

  • In East Africa, markets remain severely affected by insecurity and significant macro-economic challenges in Yemen, South Sudan, and Sudan, resulting in significantly above average prices. Food and fuel prices declined in Yemen in December, driven by changes to import procedures and a reduction in the rate of depreciation of the local currency. Elsewhere, staple food price trends followed seasonal patterns across most markets in Eastern Africa and remained below average in Tanzania, Uganda, and Kenya.

  • In Southern Africa, domestic maize supplies declined seasonally with the progression of the lean season. Maize grain prices increased seasonally and were significantly above their December 2017 levels. December 2018 prices were significantly higher than the five-year average in the DRC, Madagascar, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Maize grain was mostly able to circulate between surplus and deficit areas, except for Zambia where administrative restrictions on exports have reduced both formal and informal exports during the 2018/19 marketing year. Although export parity prices increased significantly in South Africa, the country continued to export to both regional and international markets.

  • In Central America, maize and bean market supplies are near average and supported by the ongoing Postrera harvest, carryover stocks, and imports. Maize prices were above-average and stable in December while bean prices were below-average to average and seasonally decreased or were stable in December. In Nicaragua, ongoing political tension continued to affect markets and trade dynamics, putting upward pressure on maize prices. In Haiti, local maize grain prices increased while local black bean prices fell in key reference markets. Imported rice prices were stable even as the Haitian gourde depreciated further against the USD.

  • Regional availability and price trends varied across Central Asia with the progression of the 2018/2019 marketing year (MY). Due to prolonged periods of dryness and below-average cumulative precipitation, wheat production is expected to be slightly less than the previous year, but near average. Regional wheat deficits are expected to be filled through intra-regional trade.

  • International staple food markets are well supplied. Rice, soybean, and wheat prices were firm while maize prices exhibited mixed trends in December (Figure 2). Crude oil prices fell for a second consecutive month to below average levels, while global fertilizer prices exhibited mixed trends in December.

A Monitoria dos Preços oferece um resumo mensal e as perspectivas das tendências globais, regionais e nacionais, dos preços das principais mercadorias nos países da FEWS NET. A análise pode debater questões globais, como o preço dos combustíveis ou as taxas de câmbio, se forem susceptíveis de influenciar os preços dos alimentos básicos nos países da FEWS NET. O Anexo Price Watch junto detalha as tendências dos preços por país.

About FEWS NET

A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.

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