Áreas de maior preocupação

Motivo de preocupação

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

Conflict has increased significantly in the Great Baggari in October.

Motivo de preocupação

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Current Observations

Many households in the northeast did not cultivate again this year and are not benefiting from ongoing main season harvests.

Motivo de preocupação

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

Officials from the UN, the ICRC, Save the Children, Islamic Relief, CARE and other organizations launch calls for a political solution to the conflict in Yemen.

Motivo de preocupação

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Current Observations

Although precipitation increased in the second half of October, seasonal totals are still below-average in Somali region.

Outras áreas de preocupação

Motivo de preocupação

Although the April to June 2018 Gu rainy season has led to improvements, most regions are still recovering from prolonged drought and the associated impact of large-scale livestock losses and poor production.

Current Observations

The onset of the Deyr has been characterized by below-average rainfall. Forecasts indicate that below-average accumulation through the end of the season is most likely.

Motivo de preocupação

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

Current Observations

Since October, at least 347,000 Congolese nationals have entered the Kasai region from Angola leading to concerns of a renewed humanitarian crisis in the region. 

Motivo de preocupação

Conflict has expanded in recent years, with more than 1.1 million people displaced since the beginning of 2016. Drought in the north and northwest will reduce yields for 2018 main season wheat and other crops. Rangeland conditions are also very poor in some of these areas.

Current Observations

High elevation snowfall has begun in the northeastern part of the country and precipitation is generally at or above average. 

Motivo de preocupação

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Current Observations

Updated forecasts suggest that average rainfall is increasingly likely during the 2018/19 rainy season.

Áreas de maior preocupação

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Current Observations
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Conflict has increased significantly in the Great Baggari in October.

Nigeria

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Many households in the northeast did not cultivate again this year and are not benefiting from ongoing main season harvests.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Officials from the UN, the ICRC, Save the Children, Islamic Relief, CARE and other organizations launch calls for a political solution to the conflict in Yemen.

Ethiopia

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Although precipitation increased in the second half of October, seasonal totals are still below-average in Somali region.

Outras áreas de preocupação

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Current Observations
Somalia

Although the April to June 2018 Gu rainy season has led to improvements, most regions are still recovering from prolonged drought and the associated impact of large-scale livestock losses and poor production.

The onset of the Deyr has been characterized by below-average rainfall. Forecasts indicate that below-average accumulation through the end of the season is most likely.

DRC

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

Since October, at least 347,000 Congolese nationals have entered the Kasai region from Angola leading to concerns of a renewed humanitarian crisis in the region. 

Afghanistan

Conflict has expanded in recent years, with more than 1.1 million people displaced since the beginning of 2016. Drought in the north and northwest will reduce yields for 2018 main season wheat and other crops. Rangeland conditions are also very poor in some of these areas.

High elevation snowfall has begun in the northeastern part of the country and precipitation is generally at or above average. 

Southern Africa

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Updated forecasts suggest that average rainfall is increasingly likely during the 2018/19 rainy season.

.

Peak needs 2018

FEWS NET Data Center link

Scenario development video

Os nossos Parceiros

A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.

  • USAID Logo
  • USGS Logo
  • USDA Logo
  • NASA Logo
  • NOAA Logo
  • Kilometra Logo
  • Chemonics Logo