Key Message Update

Despite high rainfall accumulation in the Pacific coast and low rainfall in the east, generally average seasonal totals are expected for the Primera season

May 2018

May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Many of the poorest households that are partially dependent on their own staple food production are already seasonally dependant on market purchaces, having exhausted their food reserves. However, given average income levels due to the high demand for seasonal labor, average staple availability compared to 2017, and with prices of maize and beans close to average, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected throughout most of the country. The exception is in areas that suffered low production between 2014 and 2016, where outcomes are likely to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • The rainy season is already established in the Pacific coast and some areas in the central part of the country, which has already lead to the planting of cereals for the Primera season. At the moment no significant damage or losses are reported to these crops, despite some localized events of heavy rain and hail. However, to date the rains have not yet been enough for the agricultural start of season in areas further north in the country.

  • Rainfall forecasts continue to call for above-average precipitation in the southwest and north of the country, and average for the rest of the country. Additionally, a normal Canícula is expected, both in terms of intensity and duration. Therefore, the production of staple cereals from the Primera season is expected to be near average, although some localized damage due to excess rainfall, especially in the Pacific coast, is still possible.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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