Key Message Update

Average Postrera harvests expected to improve food availability and income

November 2017

November 2017 - January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • As a result of slightly above-normal rainfall, average yields are expected from the Postrera season in arrive parts of the central region, western highlands, and the eastern region. Harvests are expected in February in Petén, parts of the north and parts of Izabal.

  • As grains from the recent harvest enter the markets, prices are expected to begin to follow normal seasonal trends by declining in parts of the northern transversal strip and south of Petén.

  • As of November, there is high demand for agricultural labor. These labor opportunities are providing income to the poorest households in areas across the country. The coffee harvest is expected to peak between December and January and the harvest will occur in late March. The harvest for basic grains will extend to January and bean crops will be harvested through December.

  • Some areas in the dry corridor will continue to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) because many households have been unable to recover their livelihoods after five consecutive years of poor production and limited employment. Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected in the rest of the country will until the lean season beings in March or April. Minimal outcomes are expected due to the average grain harvest, a gradual decrease in grain prices, and income generating activities available to households.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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