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Honduras

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Key Message Update December 2025 Seasonal food production and rural employment contribute to improved food security Download the report
  • The below-average 2025 primera maize harvest replenished household food stocks and eased market dependence, and is expected to support poor households in minimally reducing their food consumption gaps through March 2026. However, the staggered primera harvest – the principal maize growing season – extended the lean season and delayed seasonal market price decreases. Severe weather volatility throughout 2025 stressed maize crop development and reduced yields, especially in the Dry Corridor. White maize wholesale prices are declining in December as the delayed primera harvest reaches markets. However, households are relying more on their own production, reducing their need to purchase maize for consumption. Despite this seasonal improvement following the primera harvest, white maize prices remain 20 to 30 percent above the five-year average and 2024 levels.
  • Despite areas of isolated dryness, last month's adequate crop moisture levels indicate an average postrera harvest is expected, with improved vegetation conditions. Bean production continues to be supported by favorable humidity and temperature conditions. Despite this, wholesale red bean prices remain nearly 30 percent above 2024 and above the five-year average, driven by high production costs, price speculation, and weather variability earlier in the season. Elevated bean prices, one of the main staple foods for rural household diets, continue to strain household budgets and limit protein intake. 
  • Seasonal increases in rural labor and remittances sustain household economies at year-end. Coffee and sugar cane harvests from October to March increase employment in rural areas and are expected to support household income into early 2026. As international coffee prices remained high throughout 2025, production areas and the demand for rural labor also increased. However, fuel prices also increased throughout the year, rising to 0.96 USD per liter in November, sustaining pressure on transportation and food costs. Remittances remain a key income source for supporting rural economies and have not been impacted by new taxes effective as of January 2026.  
  • Following the end of the second rainy season, average rainfall is forecast for eastern Honduras through January 2026. However, erratic rainfall distribution and above-average temperatures through March will likely hinder crop development and reduce staple grain yields for smallholder farmers. Despite localized flooding in recent months, rainfall deficits persist in parts of eastern Honduras, underscoring recent rainfall variability countrywide. As food stocks are depleted and labor demand in commercial farms declines by April, poor households, particularly subsistence farmers in the Dry Corridor, are expected to face a heightened risk of food consumption gaps during the lean season. 
  • Political uncertainty persists following post-election events. Disputed results, fraud allegations, and calls for annulment have triggered localized protests, roadblocks, and intermittent clashes. Although protests currently remain localized, prolonged disruptions may raise transport costs, restrict household mobility and supply routes into major cities, shorten market operation hours under curfews, and depress informal incomes, leading to temporary price spikes in protest-affected areas. Poor households, especially in the Dry Corridor, remain at high risk of deteriorating food security conditions and exposure to seasonal events expected from April 2026. Any protracted political instability may further restrict market access and disrupt income-generating activities, compounding lean season constraints. 
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Actualización de mensajes clave Diciembre 2025 La producción estacional de alimentos y el empleo rural contribuyen a mejorar la seguridad alimentaria Download the report
  • La cosecha de maíz de Primera de 2025, inferior al promedio, permitió reponer las reservas alimentarias de los hogares y reducir la dependencia del mercado, y se espera que ayude a los hogares pobres a reducir mínimamente sus brechas de consumo de alimentos hasta marzo de 2026. Sin embargo, la cosecha de Primera escalonada — la principal temporada de producción de maíz — prolongó la temporada de escasez y retrasó las disminuciones estacionales de los precios en los mercados. La fuerte volatilidad climática a lo largo de 2025 estresó el desarrollo del cultivo de maíz y redujo los rendimientos, especialmente en el Corredor Seco. Los precios mayoristas del maíz blanco están disminuyendo en diciembre a medida que el retraso de la cosecha de Primera llega a los mercados. Sin embargo, los hogares dependen más de su propia producción, lo que reduce la necesidad de comprar maíz para el consumo. A pesar de esta mejora estacional tras la cosecha de Primera, los precios del maíz blanco se mantienen entre 20 y 30 por ciento por encima del promedio de cinco años y de los niveles de 2024.
  • A pesar de algunas áreas con sequedad aislada, los niveles adecuados de humedad de los cultivos del mes pasado indican que se espera una cosecha de Postrera promedio, con mejores condiciones de vegetación. La producción de frijol continúa respaldada por condiciones favorables de humedad y temperatura. No obstante, los precios mayoristas del frijol rojo se mantienen casi 30 por ciento por encima de 2024 y por encima del promedio de cinco años, impulsados por altos costos de producción, especulación de precios y la variabilidad climática registrada a inicios de la temporada. Los elevados precios del frijol, uno de los principales alimentos básicos en la dieta de los hogares rurales, siguen presionando los presupuestos de los hogares y limitando la ingesta de proteínas.
  • Los aumentos estacionales del empleo rural y de las remesas sostienen las economías de los hogares a finales de año. Las cosechas de café y caña de azúcar de octubre a marzo incrementan el empleo en las zonas rurales y se espera que sostengan a los ingresos de los hogares hasta inicios de 2026. Dado que los precios internacionales del café se mantuvieron altos durante todo 2025, también aumentaron las áreas de producción y la demanda de mano de obra rural. Sin embargo, los precios del combustible también aumentaron a lo largo del año, alcanzando 0.,96 USD por litro en noviembre, lo que mantiene la presión sobre los costos de transporte y de los alimentos. Las remesas continúan siendo una fuente clave de ingresos para el sostenimiento de las economías rurales y no se han visto afectadas por los nuevos impuestos vigentes a partir de enero de 2026.
  • Tras el fin de la segunda temporada de lluvias, se pronostican precipitaciones promedio en el oriente de Honduras hasta enero de 2026. No obstante, la distribución errática de las lluvias y las temperaturas por encima del promedio hasta marzo probablemente obstaculizarán el desarrollo de los cultivos y reducirán los rendimientos de granos básicos de los pequeños productores. A pesar de inundaciones localizadas en meses recientes, persisten déficits de lluvia en partes del oriente de Honduras, lo que subraya la alta variabilidad de las precipitaciones a nivel nacional. A medida que se agotan las reservas de alimentos y disminuye la demanda de mano de obra en las fincas comerciales hacia abril, se espera que los hogares pobres —en particular los agricultores de subsistencia del Corredor Seco— enfrenten un mayor riesgo de brechas en el consumo de alimentos durante la temporada de escasez.
  • La incertidumbre política persiste tras los acontecimientos posteriores a las elecciones. Los resultados disputados, las denuncias de fraude y los llamados a la anulación han provocado protestas localizadas, bloqueos de carreteras y enfrentamientos intermitentes. Si bien las protestas se mantienen actualmente focalizadas, interrupciones prolongadas podrían aumentar los costos de transporte, restringir la movilidad de los hogares y las rutas de suministro hacia las principales ciudades, acortar los horarios de funcionamiento de los mercados bajo toques de queda y deprimir los ingresos informales, generando alzas temporales de precios en las zonas afectadas por las protestas. Los hogares pobres, especialmente en el Corredor Seco, siguen enfrentando un alto riesgo de deterioro de las condiciones de seguridad alimentaria y de exposición a eventos estacionales previstos a partir de abril de 2026. Cualquier inestabilidad política prolongada podría restringir aún más el acceso a los mercados y perturbar las actividades generadoras de ingresos, lo que agrava las limitaciones propias de la temporada de escasez.  
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Food Security Classification data View all Honduras Food Security Classification data
Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2024 (.zip) Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml)
Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (September 2024) and medium term (October 2024 - January 2025) periods.

Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile September 2024 (.zip) Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification September 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: September 2024 (.png) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: September 2024 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml)
Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2024 - September 2024) and medium term (October 2024 - January 2025) periods.

Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2024 (.zip) Honduras Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: August 2024 - September 2024 (.png) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: August 2024 - September 2024 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar
Description

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.

Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Honduras
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Beans, Season 1 Beans, Season 2 Maize, Season 1 Maize, Season 2 Rice, Season 1 Rice, Season 2
Satellite-derived products map
Description

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all satellite-derived products
Livelihood Zone resources
Description

FEWS NET's narrative descriptions are meant to accompany the livelihood maps, and describe the main characteristics of livelihood patterns and compare sources of food and income in that zone.

Honduras livelihood zone descriptions HONDURAS Zonas de Medios de Vida y Descripciones HONDURAS Livelihood Zone Descriptions Honduras Livelihood Zone Map 2015
Honduras 2014 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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