Guatemala

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Latest analysis
Actualización de la perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria Diciembre 2025 Insuficientes cosechas de autoconsumo provocan la dependencia prematura del mercado Download the report
  • Los resultados de Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) persistirán hasta mayo en el Corredor Seco, áreas de Alta Verapaz y del Altiplano. Los hogares más pobres no han logrado recuperarse de los consecutivos impactos climáticos y económicos de años pasados. La pérdida de sus cosechas de granos básicos en este año, los obligará a continuar dependiendo del mercado para alimentarse. Los ingresos percibidos por alta demanda de mano de obra agrícola (octubre-febrero) servirán para pagar deudas y comprar alimentos. Sin reservas de granos básicos, ni ahorros, continuarán enfrentando los altos precios de los alimentos, por lo que la temporada de escasez iniciará prematuramente.  Para cubrir su alimentación básica, ajustarán la cantidad de alimentos consumidos y emplearán estrategias de afrontamiento negativas.
  • Hasta enero 2026, la mayor parte del país se clasificará en inseguridad alimentaria Acentuada (Fase 2, CIF). Los ingresos percibidos durante la alta temporada de empleo agrícola y la disponibilidad de cosechas propias permitirán que por uno o dos meses los hogares puedan mejorar el consumo de alimentos. Sin embargo, a partir de febrero, la presión de los altos precios de los alimentos y la disminución de oportunidades laborales agrícolas provocará que los hogares comiencen a usar estrategias de afrontamiento como la migración atípica y recorte de tiempos de alimentos para garantizar alimentación básica. Al aproximarse la temporada de escasez, se espera que gran parte de los hogares más pobres se clasifique en Crisis (Fase 3, CIF).
  • Los precios de los granos básicos presentan leves disminuciones al final del 2025, pero se mantienen arriba del promedio de los cinco años. Debido a las cosechas tardías, los precios no mostraron las bajas estacionales esperadas desde septiembre; fue hasta noviembre cuando comenzaron a disminuir. Se espera que, aunque de forma escalonada, los mercados se mantengan abastecidos y que los precios se estabilicen. Sin embargo, al aproximarse la época de escasez de 2026 podrían mostrar el comportamiento típico al alza.  
  • Este reporte provee una actualización de la Perspectiva de la seguridad alimentaria de octubre 2025 a mayo 2026, así como de los Mensajes clave de noviembre de 2025. Este análisis se basa en información disponible al 20 de diciembre de 2025. 
 Read the full analysis Food Security Outlook Update December 2025 Insufficient own-produced harvests lead to premature reliance on markets Download the report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes will persist through May in the Dry Corridor, areas of Alta Verapaz, and the Highlands. The poorest households have not been able to recover from the previous years’ consecutive weather and economic shocks. The loss of their staple grain harvests this year will force them to continue relying on markets for food. Income earned during the period of peak agricultural labor demand (October–February) will be used to repay debts and purchase food. With no staple grain reserves or savings, households will continue to face high food prices, causing the lean season to begin prematurely. To meet their basic food needs, they will reduce the quantity of food consumed and employ negative coping strategies.
  • Through January 2026, most of the country will be classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2). Income earned during the peak agricultural employment season and the availability of own-produced harvests will allow households to improve food consumption for one or two months. However, beginning in February, pressure from high food prices and declining agricultural labor opportunities will lead households to adopt coping strategies, such as atypical migration and reducing meal frequency, to ensure basic food consumption. As the lean season approaches, a large portion of the poorest households is expected to shift into Crisis (IPC Phase 3).

  • Staple grain prices show slight declines toward the end of 2025, but remain above the five-year average. Due to delayed harvests, prices did not exhibit the expected seasonal declines starting in September, but rather not until November. Although markets are expected to remain supplied and prices to stabilize gradually as the 2026 lean season approaches, prices could follow their typical upward trend.

    This report provides an update to the October 2025 to May 2026 Food Security Outlook and November 2025 Key Message Update. The analysis is based on information available as of December 20, 2025. 

 Read the full analysis
More analysis View all Guatemala analysis Food security
FEWS NET Analysis Note Guatemala November 2025
Key Message Update Guatemala November 2025
Food Security Outlook Guatemala October 2025 - May 2026
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 8, 2026 - January 14, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 1, 2026 - January 7, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alerta América Latina y el Caribe Diciembre 1, 2020
Alert Latin America and the Caribbean December 1, 2020
Food security
FEWS NET Analysis Note Guatemala November 2025
Key Message Update Guatemala November 2025
Food Security Outlook Guatemala October 2025 - May 2026
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 8, 2026 - January 14, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 1, 2026 - January 7, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Alerta América Latina y el Caribe Diciembre 1, 2020
Alert Latin America and the Caribbean December 1, 2020
Food Security Classification data View all Guatemala Food Security Classification data
Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2025 (.zip) Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2025 (.zip) Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Guatemala Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Guatemala
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Maize, Postrera Season Maize, Primera Season Beans, Postrera Season Beans, Primera Season Cardamom Coffee
Satellite-derived products map

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all satellite-derived products
Livelihood Zone resources

FEWS NET's narrative descriptions are meant to accompany the livelihood maps, and describe the main characteristics of the livelihood patterns and compare sources of food and income in that zone. 

 Guatemala Livelihood Baseline Profile Guatemala Livelihood zone profiles
Guatemala 2016 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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