Markets and Trade

Across the developing world, populations—both urban and rural—rely on markets for food and income. The production, trade, and distribution systems flows that support these markets are powerful forces, influenced by suppliers, traders, and buyers responding to changes in supply and demand, ultimately determining prices and the availability of and access to food. Understanding current and projected market, trade, and price trends is critical to the success of FEWS NET’s integrated food security analysis. The Structure-Conduct-Performance analytical framework guides the FEWS NET approach to markets and trade analysis.

FEWS NET’s markets and trade knowledge base is the starting point for understanding the market context. Core products include a large price database, national and regional production and trade flow maps, and Market Fundamentals Reports. These reports provide decision makers and organizations with an overview of the structure, conduct, and performance of markets, and provide the foundation for an annual market monitoring plan.

FEWS NET regularly monitors and reports on local staple food availability, prices, regional trade flows, and macroeconomic drivers. Monthly marketing reports, Price Bulletins, the Price Watch, Supply and Market Outlook reports, and Cross-Border Trade reports are regularly produced. Additionally, FEWS NET conducts Enhanced Market Analysis in select countries, focused on providing food assistance modality choice decision support. 

With information from the knowledge base along with market monitoring data, the markets and trade sector contributes key inputs into scenario development, FEWS NET’s methodology to develop food security projections. Market specialists collaborate with food security analysts to integrate assumptions on production and commodity balances, trade flows, and prices into FEWS NET’s analysis. Price projections may also be produced, and take into consideration key market drivers (fundamentals analysis) and historical price trends analysis (technical analysis). For guidance on the formulation of price projections, see FEWS NET’s guidance document on Developing Price Projections for Food Security Early Warning

FEWS NET cooperates closely with a network of food, agricultural and economic entities, relying on them for expertise as well as data on prices and other economic indicators. This network includes national ministries of agriculture, statistical offices, and market information systems, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the World Food Program, and others. In a handful of countries, FEWS NET has teams of market monitors who collect data.

Products

Market Fundamentals Reports

Market Fundamentals Reports provide an overview of staple food, cash crop, livestock, and/or labor marketing systems in FEWS NET countries and regions. The reports culminate in a regular market monitoring plan.

Market Fundamentals Reports

Enhanced Market Analysis

Enhanced Market Analysis reports present research findings from USAID-commissioned studies that provide an evidence base to inform response analysis in selected countries, which include but are not limited to Congressional-mandated Bellmon Analyses.

Enhanced Market Analysis

Production & Trade Flow Maps

Production and Trade Flow Maps capture the geography of market networks for a product in a given country or region, including surplus and deficit areas, key market towns and cross border trade points, and trade flows.

Production & Trade Flow Maps

A Propos de Carte de production et des flux commerciaux

Les Cartes de Production et Flux des Marchés capturent les réseaux du marché pour un produit particulier dans un pays ou dans une région, y compris leurs tendances au niveau de la production et des échanges commerciaux. Ces cartes sont disponibles pour les principaux produits dans la plupart des pays couverts par FEWS NET.

Seasonal Market Monitoring

Supply and Market Outlook

Supply and Market Outlook Reports summarize the staple food availability, surpluses, and deficits during the current marketing year, and projected market behavior. The reports culminate in an annual market monitoring plan.

Supply and Market Outlook

Cross-Border Trade Report

Cross-Border Trade Reports offer a periodic summary on trade flow patterns in a given country or region. They usually focus on informal trade, although trade policies and formal trade patterns are also considered.

Cross Border Trade Reports

A Propos du Bulletin de Commerce Transfrontalier

Le Bulletin de Commerce Transfrontalier sont des documents périodiques sur les échanges commerciaux entre deux pays ou au sein d'une même région, et ils donnent en général des informations sur l'échange de denrées alimentaires à certains points transfrontaliers.

Monthly Market Monitoring

Price Watch

Price Watch Reports offer a monthly summary and outlook on staple food, cash crop, and/or livestock market trends in all FEWS NET countries, as well as globally relevant trends. Macroeconomic developments are also reported on.

Price Watch

A Propos de l'Observatoire des Prix

l'Observatoire des Prix offre un résumé mensuel et une perspective sur les tendances mondiales, régionales et nationales des prix des principales marchandises dans les pays couverts par FEWS NET. Les analyses peuvent aborder des questions mondiales, telles que les prix des carburants ou les taux de change, si ces dernières sont susceptibles d'influencer les prix des denrées de base dans les pays couverts par FEWS NET. En complément, l'annexe de la surveillance des prix détaille les tendances des prix pays par pays. 

Price Bulletin

Price Bulletins are produced monthly and are available by country and by region. They provide graphs tracking the prices of various commodities that are important locally.

Price Bulletins

A Propos du Bulletin des Prix

Les Bulletins des prix sont fournis tous les mois et disponibles par pays. Ils offrent des graphiques permettant de suivre les prix des marchandises qui sont importantes au niveau local. 

Price Projections Guidance Document cover

About FEWS NET

Le Réseau des systèmes d’alerte précoce contre la famine est l’un des principaux prestataires d’alertes précoces et d’analyses de l’insécurité alimentaire. Constitué par l’USAID en 1985 pour aider les décideurs à planifier pour les crises humanitaires, FEWS NET fournit des analyses factuelles  concernant quelque 35 pays. Les membres des équipes de mise en œuvre incluent la NASA, la NOAA, le département américain de l ‘Agriculture (USDA) et le gouvernement des États-Unis (USGS), de même que Chemonics International Inc. et Kimetrica. Vous trouverez d’autres informations sur notre travail.

  • USAID Logo
  • USGS Logo
  • USDA Logo
  • NASA Logo
  • NOAA Logo
  • Kilometra Logo
  • Chemonics Logo