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Monitor Estacional

Following heavy early season rainfall, light to moderate Gu rains received in late May

4 Junio 2018

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.
Socios: 
USGS

Summary

After weeks of continuous rainfall, Gu rains subsided in most parts of Somalia during the May 20 – 31 period, returning to climatologically average levels across most of the country. According to satellite-derived rainfall estimates (RFE2), light to moderate rainfall fell in areas of the Northwest and South, ranging from 10 to 75 millimeters (mm) (Figure 1). The rest of the country saw little or no rainfall. Although this rainfall pattern was climatologically average in most areas, rainfall totals were 10-50 mm below the 2005-2009 short-term mean in localized pockets of southern, central, and northern Somalia (Figure 2). No major flooding occurred during the reporting period, although large riverine areas in the South remain inundated. 

Situation

In the Northwest, light to moderate rainfall was reported in localized parts of Northwestern Agropastoral and Hawd Pastoral livelihood zones of Awdal and Woqooyi Galbeed. No rainfall was reported in Sanaag with the exception of localized and erratic light rains in pockets of the Golis livelihood zone in Erigabo and Las Qoray. No rainfall was reported in Togdheer or Sool.

In the Northeast, moderate rainfall was received over a two-day period in parts of Coastal Deeh Pastoral livelihood zone of Bari, Nugaal, and northern Mudug as well as in areas of West Golis Pastoral livelihood zone in Caluula, Qandala, and Iskushuban of Bari. Similar rainfall patterns were reported in parts of Hawd Pastoral and Northern Inland Pastoral livelihood zones in Nugaal and northern Mudug. Other areas of Northern Inland Pastoral and Coastal Deeh Pastoral livelihood zones in Bari received light rainfall. No rainfall was reported in the rest of the Northeast.

In central regions, no rainfall was reported in Galagaduud or southern Mudug during the last 10 days of May. However, field reports indicate some areas may have received light rainfall. Despite the lack of rainfall in most areas during the reporting period, rainfall in April and early May sufficiently replenished water sources and supported the regeneration of pasture.

In the South, farmland in riverine areas of Hiraan, Lower and Middle Juba, Gedo, and parts of Middle Shabelle remain flooded. However, rainfall totals during the last ten days of May were significantly lower in most regions compared to previous reporting periods. Little or no rainfall was reported in Bay, Bakool, or Hiraan, while localized light to moderate rainfall was reported in most parts of Gedo, Middle Juba, and Lower and Middle Shabelle. Moderate to heavy rainfall was reported in most livelihood zones of Lower Juba. Rain gauge stations recorded 3.5 mm in Hudur (Bakool), 5 mm in Baidoa (Bay), 20 mm in Afgoye (Lower Shabelle), and 30 mm in Sakow (Middle Shabelle). Although no new significant flooding events were reported during this period, the risk of flooding remains high along the Shabelle River.

The satellite-derived eMODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) continues to show above-average vegetation conditions across much of the country due to positive Gu rainfall performance (Figure 3). The seven-day rainfall forecast for June 4-10 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association’s Climate Prediction Center (NOAA/CPC) forecasts little to no rainfall across the country, with the notable exceptions of Lower Shabelle, Middle Juba, and Bay. These areas are forecast to receive 10-40 mm of rainfall (Figure 4).

For more rain gauge data, please, contact So-Hydro@fao.org or visit www.faoswalim.org.

About this Report

FEWS NET publishes a Seasonal Monitor for Somalia every 10 days (dekad) through the end of the current April to June Gu rainy season. The purpose of this document is to provide updated information on the progress of the Gu season to facilitate contingency and response planning. This Somalia Seasonal Monitor is valid through June 10, 2018 and is produced in collaboration with U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit (FSNAU) Somalia, the Somali Water and Land Information System (SWALIM), a number of other agencies, and several Somali nongovernmental organizations(NGOs).

Sobre Este Informe

El monitor estacional se produce para cada una de las cuatro regiones cubiertas por FEWS NET durante la estación de producción. Este informe actualiza los totales de las precipitaciones, las repercusiones sobre la producción y el pronóstico a corto tiempo. Producido por el científico regional del Servicio de Prospección Geológica de Estados Unidos de FEWS NET, el informe es producido cada 20 días durante la estación de producción. Conozca más sobre nuestro trabajo.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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