Monitor Estacional

Light to moderate rainfall in south-central Somalia; moderate to heavy rainfall in the North

14 Junio 2019

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.
Socios: 
USGS

Between June 1 and 10, light rainfall was reported in many parts of the South, but ground information indicates Gedo, Bakool, Bay, and Hiiraan regions received little to no rainfall. Apart from some localized areas, little to no rainfall was reported in Somalia’s central regions. Conversely, the North received moderate to heavy rains in most areas, but rainfall performance was relatively poor in some pastoral areas of Aluula, Bandarbeyla, and Iskushuban districts of Bari region and some pastoral and agropastoral areas of Awdal and Woqooyi Galbeed regions. In south-central areas that received rain, satellite-derived rainfall estimate data (CHIRPS preliminary) recorded precipitation amounts of up to 25 millimeters. In the North, precipitation amounts were recorded at up to 25 mm in most areas, with localized areas receiving up to 50 mm (Figure 1). According to CHIRPS preliminary data, rainfall was generally climatologically average. However, rainfall totals in the coastal south were 10-25 mm below the long-term mean, while rainfall totals in parts of the northwest were 10-25 mm above the mean (Figure 2). Both the Shabelle and Juba water levels have continued to rise, and localized flooding was reported in riverine areas in Jowhar district of Middle Shabelle. 

Situation

In the Northwest, moderate to heavy rainfall was reported across pastoral livelihood zones of Togdheer, Sanaag, and Sool regions. Heavy rains in the Golis mountains of Sanaag flooded seasonal streams and caused minimal damage. Storms in Guban livelihood zone of Awdal reportedly destroyed homes and affected road networks.  Elsewhere, localized light to moderate rainfall was reported in most livelihood zones of Awdal and Woqooyi Galbeed regions.

In the Northeast, moderate rainfall with fair distribution was generally reported in most of Bari, Nugaal, and northern Mudug regions. Within Bari, this was concentrated in Northern Inland Pastoral livelihood zone of Bandabeyla district, whereas parts of East Golis Pastoral livelihood zone of Iskushuban and Alula districts received poor rainfall. In Nugaal and northern Mudug, there were also field reports of very heavy rainfall occuring in a single day in early June.

In central regions, early June saw the rains subside into a dry spell, after twenty days of well-distributed, moderate to heavy rainfall. Only localized light to moderate showers were reported in parts of Addun Pastoral livelihood zone of Galkayo district of Mudug, central Cowpea Agropastoral livelihood zone of Elder district of Galgaduud, and Southern Inland Pastoral zone of Dhusamareb district of Galgaduud region.  

In the South, rainfall amounts varied from light to moderate in the Jubas and Lower Shabelle. Although satellite-derived data show rainfall occurred in Bay, ground information reports no rainfall was received. Light to no rainfall was reported in Bakool, Hiiraan, Gedo and Middle Shabelle regions, with the notable exception of localized light showers in agropastoral and riverine areas of Hiiraan and pastoral areas of Elwak of Gedo. This rainfall was observed by remote-sensing imagery, as no rainfall was recorded at most of the key rain gauge stations. Only 4.5 mm was recorded in Beledweyn (Hiiraan) and 10 mm in Sakow (Middle Juba). However, water levels rose in both the Juba and Shabelle rivers due to moderate to heavy precipitation in the river catchments located in the Ethiopian highlands. In Beledweyn, river water levels rose to 5 meters, which is below the flooding point of 6.5 meters. Localized flooding was reported in areas around Mahadday village of Jowhar district of Middle Shabelle, causing some crop damage.

According to the satellite-derived eMODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), vegetation continues to improve compared to previous reporting periods. Localized deficits remain visible in parts of the South (Figure 3). The seven-day rainfall forecast through June 20 suggests that most of the country should expect little to no rainfall, except for of a large area in Bay, Shabelle, and Juba regions that is forecast to receive 10-40 mm of rainfall (Figure 4).  

For more rain gauge data, please, contact So-Hydro@fao.org or visit www.faoswalim.org.

Sobre Este Informe

El monitor estacional se produce para cada una de las cuatro regiones cubiertas por FEWS NET durante la estación de producción. Este informe actualiza los totales de las precipitaciones, las repercusiones sobre la producción y el pronóstico a corto tiempo. Producido por el científico regional del Servicio de Prospección Geológica de Estados Unidos de FEWS NET, el informe es producido cada 20 días durante la estación de producción. Conozca más sobre nuestro trabajo.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

  • USAID Logo
  • USGS Logo
  • USDA Logo
  • NASA Logo
  • NOAA Logo
  • Kilometra Logo
  • Chemonics Logo