Uganda flag

Presence Country
Key Message Update

Early green harvest consumption supports Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in bimodal areas

May 2018

May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Concentration of displaced people
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Recent field assessments indicate above-average rainfall has been beneficial to crop development and many households are consuming green harvests in May, earlier than normal. The negative impacts of Fall Armyworm (FAW) are minimal in bimodal areas and above-average production is now expected in June/July. Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are likely through September in these areas. In Karamoja, maize losses from FAW will likely be more significant, though average sorghum production and seasonally low prices will support improvement from Stressed (IPC Phase 2) to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) for many poor households by the end of the lean season in July. However, parts of Nakapiripirit, Kaabong, and Napak will remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • In addition to the upcoming harvest, stable food prices and typical income-earning opportunities are expected to support normal food access among poor households. Nationally, the retail price of staple foods are similar to or slightly above the five-year average, but below 2017 prices by approximately 15-30 percent. Prices are expected to remain below last year throughout the projection period due to normal market supply from last season’s harvest and expectations of an above-average June/July harvest.

  • An estimated 77,429 people from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) fled to Uganda between January and April. In response, the Government of Uganda and humanitarian partners have revised the planning figure upward to 200,000 new arrivals by the end of December 2018. South Sudanese refugees also continued to arrive, but at a much lower rate of 5,000 people per month between January and April. Refugees are currently receiving emergency food assistance and are Stressed (IPC Phase 2!), though Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the absence of assistance.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

USAID logoUSGS logoUSDA logo
NASA logoNOAA logoKimetrica logoChemonics logo