Key Message Update

Household food access improves as food prices continue to decline

September 2017

September 2017

Tanzania September 2017 Food Security Projections for September

October 2017 - January 2018

Tanzania September 2017 Food Security Projections for October to January

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Unseasonable September rains have triggered early planting for the Vuli season in Kagera, Kigoma, Geita, Mwanza, Mara, Simiyu, Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Tanga, and Morogoro. The Vuli harvest, expected in January, only contributes 20 percent to total annual production in these areas, but will mark the end of the lean season. Until then, many poor households in these areas are likely to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2), due to well below average July/August Masika production. Poor households are expected to improve to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) in January. 

  • Most poor households in Masika-producing northern and central areas have depleted household stocks, a month earlier than usual. Despite this, most are able to meet their basic food needs through market purchases. Food prices have declined significantly across areas of concern, leading to improvements in household food access relative to early 2017. In Kigoma, adjacent to the border with Burundi and the DRC, the retail price of maize in September was 650 Tsh/kg, down from 1,040 Tsh in March. In Dar-es-Salaam, the retail price of maize dropped from 1,220 Tsh in May to 766 Tsh /kg in August. 

  • According to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), Tanzania is hosting 358,000 refugees as of August 31, about 283,100 of whom are from Burundi. In August, the food ration provided to refugees was reduced to 62 percent of the recommended 2,100 calories per day. This was attributed to funding shortfalls of 23.6 million USD for August to December. In the absence of additional funding, rations will be further reduced. Most refugees are able to meet their basic food needs with assistance and income from agricultural labor, and are Stressed (IPC Phase 2!), but it is expected that some refugees, who lack access to income-earning opportunities, are now in Crisis (IPC Phase 3).  

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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