Sudan Flag

Presence Country
Key Message Update

Fuel shortages and high prices negatively impact cropping season

July 2018

July - September 2018

October 2018 - January 2019

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Food security outcomes for displaced populations would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance.FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Food security outcomes for displaced populations would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance.FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Through September 2018, IDPs and poor households in SPLM-N controlled areas will continue to face significant food consumption gaps and be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Also, through September, poor households in areas of North Darfur and Kassala affected by severe dryness in 2017, refugees from South Sudan, and poor households in northern parts of Red Sea and North Kordofan will be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). Food security will begin to improve with the harvest in October, and most parts of Sudan will be in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) or Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • Despite the likely reduced area planted, above-average rainfall to date has been favorable for crop development and pasture regeneration. The exception to this are some areas of Northern Kassala, East Darfur, parts of West Kordofan, and South Kordofan where rainfall has been below average, leading to delayed crop establishment. Meanwhile, very heavy rain has caused localized flash flooding in some areas of West Kordofan (Alnuhood), Kassala, Blue Nile, Sennar, and West and Central Darfur States where there are reports of fatalities, displacement and destruction of homes and assets. Current forecasting indicates a high likelihood of continued flooding in these areas.      

  • Between January and mid-June 2018, an estimated 21,165 new South Sudanese refugees arrived in Sudan, bringing the total number of South Sudanese refugees in Sudan to 766,046. The increased arrivals of South Sudanese refugees into Sudan is driven by the conflict in South Sudan and severe food insecurity in bordering states. Nevertheless, a typical seasonal decrease of arrivals is expected to occur with the onset on seasonal rainfall and poor road access.

  • The deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, including devaluation of the local currency and high inflation, continue to erode household purchasing power. On average, cereal prices increased up to 20 percent across markets between May and June 2018. These increases are attributed to seasonably tightened market supplies, seasonal increased demand for local consumption and cross-border trade, and extremely high cost of transportation. As a result, sorghum and millet prices are now about 200 percent above the five-year average.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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