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Remotely Monitored Country
Key Message Update

Sustained rainfall supports the beginning of 2019 Season B across Rwanda

March 2019

March - May 2019

June - September 2019

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Official production estimates for 2019 Season A are pending, however FEWS NET estimates that national crop production is above average overall, despite reports of a 20 percent reduction in bean crop production in East and South provinces. Looking forward, 2019 Season B planting is nearly completed and harvest estimates for May/June have been revised to be average given the updated forecast for average cumulative rainfall. Adequate food availability through September 2019 is likely to sustain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes.

  • The Government of Rwanda closed the northern border posts of Cyanika and Katuna on February 28 and redirected cargo to the slower, northeastern border post of Mirama Hill, reflecting difficult relations between Uganda and Rwanda. Although overall staple food prices declined and remain below the five-year average, key informants note that border closures are leading to slight price increases in commodities typically imported from Uganda. If these crossings remain closed in the near-term, the price of maize, a main import, is likely to increase, but is expected to remain below average.

  • As of February 18, 2019, UNHCR reports that Rwanda hosts approximately 148,000 refugees. Due in part to humanitarian assistance and sustained refugee integration into national safety net systems, most refugees are expected to face no acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 1!), although some are likely Stressed! (IPC Phase 2!). Other areas of concern where households may face short-term Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes include regions likely to be affected by flooding and landslides, particularly in the North and West Provinces, which are vulnerable to those disasters.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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