Key Message Update

Large-scale assistance and seasonal improvements in food access reduce risk of Famine in Somalia

February 2018

January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Not mapped
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Somalia, Sudan, and Uganda.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Not mapped
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Not mapped
Concentration of displaced people – hover over maps to view food security phase classifications for camps in Somalia, Sudan, and Uganda.
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Conflict and drought remain the key drivers of extreme levels of acute food insecurity in the region, leading up to 35 million people to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes and require assistance by May 2018. Yemen and South Sudan face a risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) in 2018 in their respective worst-case scenarios and in the absence of assistance, though the risk of Famine in Somalia has declined. Meanwhile, food security among households in southeastern Ethiopia may begin to deteriorate to Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).

  • Findings from the post-Deyr seasonal assessment conducted across Somalia in November and December 2017 indicate food security has improved notably due to continued large-scale humanitarian assistance and seasonal improvements to food and income sources during the Deyr (October-December) season. Although the risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) has declined, in the absence of assistance, many households would face large food consumption gaps. Humanitarian assistance must be sustained to prevent further deterioration of the food security and nutrition situation in Somalia.

  • In South Sudan, despite the Cessation of Hostilities (COH) agreement signed in late December, armed clashes between Government forces and armed opposition continue in Unity, Central Equatoria, and parts of Western Equatoria. Additionally, tension remains high in parts of Jonglei, Lakes, and Warrap, where inter-communal clashes have occurred, and in central and southern Unity, due to the resurgence of various armed groups and an uptick in cattle raiding. Despite ongoing conflict in many areas, 250 IDPs from Bor PoC voluntarily returned to Fangak, and humanitarian partners supported the relocation of the remaining 562 IDPs in Melut PoC prior to the closure of the camp.  

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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