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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Record-high rainfall generally improving outcomes despite flooding impacts

May 2018

May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • By early May, rainfall countrywide reached or exceeded total March to May seasonal averages, with some areas exceeding the historical record by more than 250 millimeters. Flooding was particularly severe in Tana River, Turkana, Kisumu, Mandera, and Kilifi, where major rivers overflowed and displaced more than 200,000 people. Some households have not received adequate food assistance and are facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes as they lost their farms and large numbers of livestock, destroying their main livelihoods. FEWS NET is closely monitoring highly populated flood-prone southwestern areas, with above-average rainfall forecast through June.

  • In marginal agricultural areas, despite the flooding impacts, including several thousand hectares of cropland, the rains have been largely beneficial, driving crop development and mitigating Fall Armyworm infestations. Casual labor opportunities continue to provide income for needed market purchases ahead of the June harvest. Despite improved food access, the majority of poor households continued to experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes.

  • In the pastoral areas, with significant regeneration of rangeland resources, livestock body conditions have further improved, leading to above-average livestock prices. With better milk access at the household level and improved terms of trade, except in Garissa and Turkana where above-normal maize prices have constrained household purchasing power, more households are able to move to Stressed (IPC Phase 2). However, a number of poor households are still experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Tana River, Garissa, Turkana, Isiolo, and Kajiado. 

  • Across the urban reference markets, April maize and bean prices ranged from 6 – 17 percent below the five-year average due to increased local supply from initial harvests and cross-border imports. However, bean prices were eight and 10 percent above the five-year average in Kisumu and Nairobi, respectively, caused by reduced and relatively higher priced supplies, mostly imports. Overall, though, with generally lower staple food prices and rising incomes, food access is steadily improving across most areas of Kenya.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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