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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Conflict-induced displacement continues to contribute to high levels of need in 2019

January 2019

January 2019

February - May 2019

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • October to December 2018 Deyr rainfall in southern pastoral areas was erratically distributed and seasonal totals were largely below-average. The limited regeneration of pasture and surface water is particularly concerning for areas that are still recovering from drought in 2016 and 2017. Improvements in pastoral conditions are not expected until the March to May 2019 Gu rains.

  • Conflict across different parts of the country continues to lead to high levels of displacement, limit livelihoods opportunities, and restrict humanitarian access. Areas of Somali, Oromia, SNNPR, and Benshangul Gumuze are affected. In Dawa zone of Somali region, conflict has prevented humanitarian actors from delivering much needed assistance to some 350,000 IDPs. Humanitarian actors have not been able to fully access IDPs in Benshangul Gumuze since their displacement in October 2018.

  • Throughout much of rest of the country, 2018 harvest stocks are positively contributing to household food access. Over parts of eastern Oromia, southern Tigray, eastern Amhara, and northern SNNPR, however, reduced agricultural production is leading to an early exhaustion of stocks. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in affected areas, as well as in many northern pastoral areas. The government of Ethiopia through NDRMC aims to target eight million people with humanitarian food assistance in 2019 through their appeal.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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