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Remotely Monitored Country
Key Message Update

Food security continues to improve, except for flood-affected and displaced populations

July 2018

July - September 2018

October 2018 - January 2019

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Season B harvests are nearly complete and households are reporting above-average yields, except for beans, due to heavy March to April rains. With the September to December 2018 rains forecast to be above average, consecutive average to above-average Season C and A productions are also expected. Food availability has improved and prices have decreased since the start of the Season B harvest, leading to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food security outcomes across most of the country. However, poor households in localized flood-affected areas, including Gatumba and Mutimbuzi communes in Bujumbura Rural province, remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • In flood-affected areas with shortfalls in bean production, surplus tuber and root production has depressed prices and lowered household income from crop sales, constraining purchases of protein-rich beans. This holds true even though cross-border trade in beans lowered bean prices in June by 22 and four percent compared to last year and the three-year average, respectively, in key markets in Kirundo. Due to this decrease in food access, flood-affected households are expected to experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes through January 2019.

  • IDP and refugee populations living in settlements are dependent on humanitarian assistance, consisting of periodic three-month, cash-based transfers from WFP. At the end of June, the number of Burundian IDPs and non-urban refugees from the DRC were estimated at 178,267 and 36,000, respectively. Meanwhile, an estimated 34,000 Burundians have officially returned from Tanzania since October 2017 and returns from Rwanda are on the rise. Without assistance, many of these households would likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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