Key Message Update

Drought in the Primera campaign affects poorest households in the Dry Corridor

October 2018

October 2018 - January 2019

El país se encuentra en fases 1 y 2.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The annual season of high demand for casual labor began this month; Although this will mean greater income options for the poorest households when compared to previous months, the income from coffee for the current year will be lower given the low sales prices, which will imply decreased food access. 

  • Flood damage has been reported in the south and north of the country. Additionally, the irregularities and deficit of rains in areas previously affected by the seasonal dry spell, in municipalities of Zacapa, caused crop losses for basic grains of Postrera agricultural cycle. In the rest of the east, Postrera crops show an adequate development, although an early end to the rainy season could affect the harvest.

  • The prices of maize and black beans maintain their seasonal trend, decreasing with upcoming harvests. Although, bean prices will remain below average, due to low demand and high supply, and maize at or slightly above average. Households affected by the seasonal dry spell could see their purchasing power limited.

  • Until January 2019, areas affected by the rain deficit are expected to be in Stress (IPC, Phase 2), while the rest of the country will be in Minimal food insecurity (IPC, Phase 1). However, there is a certain amount of households within the first areas that are in Crisis (IPC, Phase 3), which will increase as the lean season progresses.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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