Key Message Update

Disminución de precios de granos básicos mejora el acceso a alimentos

November 2018

November 2018 - January 2019

El país se encuentra en fases 1 y 2.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Food access will improve seasonally given a reduction in basic grain prices and the beginning of the high season for agricultural labor demand. However, households in the dry corridor with Primera crop losses and households whose main income comes from the coffee sector where there are low sales prices, still maintain a minimum food consumption and reduced purchasing power, limiting the purchase of non-food items.

  • Postrera crops in the east, mainly bean crops, are in fruit-bearing cycle, with average harvests expected at the end of November. The second season of basic grains in the surplus areas of the Northern Transversal Strip and Petén began with a favorable rain forecast for the development of the crops; however, the presence of irregularities that could cause targeted flooding is not ruled out.

  • The continuous supply of grains from the recent Primera harvest has resulted in a reduction in maize and bean prices, which will continue a downward trend given the proximity with the next harvest in northern Guatemala. During recent months, black bean prices have shown a considerable drop, recording their lowest price in the last five years.

  • The areas with Primera crop losses will remain in Stress (IPC, Phase 2), and the rest of the country will face Minimum (IPC, Phase 1) food insecurity until January 2019. However, there are groups of households within the Stress areas that are in Crisis (IPC, Phase 3); this number of households will increase as the lean season progresses.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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