Key Message Update

Seasonal reduction of sources of employment deteriorates poor households’ access to food

March 2019

March - May 2019

El corredor seco está en fase 2 y 3, el resto del país en fase 1.

June - September 2019

El corredor seco está en fase 2 y 3, el resto del país en fase 1.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Poor households located in the dry corridor that suffered crop losses and have seen an extended period of supply in the market will continue to engage in negative coping strategies to fill the consumption gap; Their diet is not diverse, consisting mainly of corn and beans. These households are facing Crisis (IPC, Phase 3) food security outcomes.

  • "Weak" El Niño conditions remain throughout the country; Its development during between March and May and its possible prolongation during June-September could affect the sowing of Primera and the development of the crops in areas that usually face rain deficit. Additionally, forecasts of high temperatures in the following months would reduce soil moisture.

  • With the end of the season of high demand for labor, sources of income of poor households are reduced. During this time, the sporadic employment options are related to the preparation of lands for Primera crops. However, the crop losses of 2018 and the possible irregular start of the rains may affect the hiring of labor.

  • The availability of basic grains is adequate in the markets thanks to the recent harvest of corn and beans from the surplus areas of the North and the volumes that enter from Mexico. Prices will remain stable, but high in the case of corn and low in the case of beans, until June when, according to seasonality, they begin the upward trend.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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