Key Message Update

Primera crops are developing while white maize prices continue to rise

July 2019

July - September 2019

La mayoría del país está en fase 1, con el corredor seco en fases 2 y 3.

October 2019 - January 2020

La mayoría del país está en fase 1, con el corredor seco en fases 2 y 3.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • In much of the country, Primera maize and bean crops are developing normally and are in the flowering phase. However, in some particular areas of the dry corridor, rainfall has been deficient and has hindered crop development, which will have an impact on yields.

  • In June maize price registered the highest value in the last 5 years (Q155 / QQ). Seasonally, the price increases between June-August as the market is supplied with stored grain and the formal and informal flows that enter from Mexico. The price of Mexican maize has increased as a result of the rise in the international price, in addition to restrictions on informal trade at the border.

  • Although official records (as of June 22) show an atypical increase in cases of acute malnutrition compared to 2018, these values remain within acceptable alert parameters. Petén, Zacapa and Quiché present an increase greater than 50 percent; the health area of Southwestern Petén triples the rates and in the Ixil area (Quiché) they double.

  • Although the demand for temporary employment remains stable, dry corridor households remain vulnerable after the early and continuous dependence to the market, therefore experiencing Stress (IPC, Phase 2) food security outcomes. While the poorest households that have incurred the use of negative coping strategies to meet their basic needs face a Crisis situation (IPC, Phase 3). 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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