Food Security Outlook Update

Stressed and Crisis levels expected in some areas due to recent poor harvests and expected El Nino event

May 2014

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • For the May to June period, western and eastern Guatemala, and southern and western Honduras are classified in Stress (IPC Phase 2) due to a series of shocks including two consecutive drought years in the dry corridor of Central America, and severe income losses among poor households caused by the impact of coffee rust.

  • For the July to September period, food security will deteriorate in parts of western and eastern Guatemala, reaching Crisis (IPC Phase 3). El Salvador and parts of southern and western Honduras will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • The development of an El Niño event could affect the Primera and Postrera harvests in Central America and the Spring harvests in Haiti.

  • In Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador, red bean prices increased atypically from December through April by up to 74 percent, due to below-average Primera harvests in Honduras, a decrease in area planted in Nicaragua, and increased regional export demand. Red bean prices will continue to increase until the end of the Primera harvest in August.

  • In Haiti, poor households in some communes in the Northwest, Southeast, North, Artibonite, and Nippes are facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) due to winter harvest (January-February 2014) losses.

About this Update

This monthly report covers current conditions as well as changes to the projected outlook for food insecurity in this country. It updates FEWS NET’s quarterly Food Security Outlook. Learn more about our work here.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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